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TMCNet: Research and Markets: 1Q10 Algeria Mobile Operator Forecast, 2009-2014: Algeria will have 40 Million Mobile Subscribers in 2014

[March 12, 2010]

Research and Markets: 1Q10 Algeria Mobile Operator Forecast, 2009-2014: Algeria will have 40 Million Mobile Subscribers in 2014

DUBLIN --(Business Wire)-- Research and Markets (http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/3c92fc/1q10_algeria_mobil) has announced the addition of IE Market Research Corp.'s new report "1Q10 Algeria Mobile Operator Forecast, 2009 - 2014: Algeria will have 40 Million Mobile Subscribers in 2014 with Market Share of Djezzy Declining to 54.1%" to their offering.

Mobile Operator Forecast on Algeria provides over 50 operational and financial metrics for the Algerian wireless market and is one of the best forecasts in the industry. We provide five-year forecasts at the operator level going out to 2014. We also provide quarterly historical and forecast data starting in 1Q2003 and ending in 3Q2011. Operators covered for Algeria include: Djezzy GSM, Mobilis, and Nedjma (Wataniya Telecom (News - Alert)). Our Mobile Operator Forecasts are updated quarterly and are available for one-time delivery or through regular updates.

Executive Summary Subscriber growth in Algeria's wireless market has turned negative -1.2% industry average subscriber growth in 3Q.2009 ARPU levels declined at Djezzy and Nedjma in the latest quarter -10.4% industry average ARPU growth in 3Q.2009 Total wireless subscribers in Algeria to reach 40.1 million in 2014 Our forecasting model predicts that total wireless subscribers in Algeria will increase from 29 million in 2009 to 40.1 million in 2014.

The largest operator in the country will continue to be Djezzy. We expect that its subscriber base will increase from 15 million in 2009 to 19.5 million in 2014.

We also expect that the numbers of mobile subscribers at Mobilis and Nedjma will reach 11.5 million and 9 million respectively by the end of 2014.

Djezzy's subscriber market share will decline over the next 5 years Given the latest quarter numbers, our model predicts that Djezzy's subscriber market share will decrease from 52% in 2009 to 48.7% in 2014.

We forecast that market shares of Mobilis and Nedjma will be approximately 28.7% and 22.6% in 2014.

ARPU level will be stabilizing from 2010 to 2014 Our model predicts that the industry average monthly ARPU will remain in the range of US$ 7 - US$ 8 over the next five years.

We expect that, in 2014, monthly ARPUs at Djezzy, Mobilis, and Nedjma will be approximately US$ 10.30, US$ 3, and US$ 6.70 respectively.

EBITDA margins at Djezzy will remain strong over the next five years Djezzy is one of the most profitable operators in the world in terms of EBITDA margins. We expect that Djezzy will continue to enjoy EBITDA margins of above 50% over the forecast period.

According to our model, Djezzy's EBITDA margin (calculated as EBITDA/reported revenue) will be approximately 55.3% in 2014. In comparison, we expect that Nedjma's EBITDA margin will be about 30%.

Companies Mentioned: Djezzy GSM Mobilis Nedjma (Wataniya Telecom) For more information visit http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/3c92fc/1q10_algeria_mobil

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