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TMCNet: Research and Markets: 1Q10 Morocco Mobile Operator Forecast, 2009 - 2014: Morocco will have 35.3 Million Wireless Subscribers in 2014

[March 12, 2010]

Research and Markets: 1Q10 Morocco Mobile Operator Forecast, 2009 - 2014: Morocco will have 35.3 Million Wireless Subscribers in 2014

Dublin, Mar 12, 2010 (M2 PRESSWIRE via COMTEX) -- Research and Markets (http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/cb1696/1q10_morocco_mobil) has announced the addition of IE Market Research Corp.'s new report "1Q10 Morocco Mobile Operator Forecast, 2009 - 2014: Morocco will have 35.3 Million Wireless Subscribers in 2014 with Market Share of Mditel Increasing to 37.5%" to their offering.

Mobile Operator Forecast on Morocco provides over 50 operational and financial metrics for Moroccos wireless market and is one of the best forecasts in the industry. We provide five-year forecasts at the operator level going out to 2014. We also provide quarterly historical and forecast data starting in 1Q2003 and ending in 3Q2011. Operators covered for Morocco include: Maroc Telecom SA, Mditel (Medi Telecom), and Wana. Our Mobile Operator Forecasts are updated quarterly and are available for one-time delivery or through regular updates.

Executive Summary: Subscriber growth is slowing down in Morocco's wireless market - +7.6% industry average subscriber growth in 3Q.2009 ARPU levels continue to decline in Morocco - -7.3% industry average ARPU growth in 3Q.2009 Minutes of Use per Subscriber remains low in Morocco - +8.5% industry average MOU/Sub growth in 3Q.2009 Negative EBITDA growth at Maroc Telecom and Mditel in the latest quarter - -4.2% industry average EBITDA growth in 3Q.2009 So what is IEMRs Forecast? Total wireless subscribers in Morocco to reach 35.3 million in 2014 - We forecast that total mobile subscribers in Morocco will increase from 26 million in 2009 to 35.3 million in 2014.

- We expect that Maroc Telecom will continue to be the largest wireless carrier in Morocco over the next five years with 18 million subscribers in 2014.

- Our model also forecasts that Mditel will remain in the second place with 13.3 million subscribers in 2014 while Wana finishes third with 4.1 million in 2014.

Maroc Telecom will lose subscriber market share to Mditel and Wana over the next five years - Maroc Telecom will maintain its position as the biggest mobile operator in Morocco over the next several years. However, we expect that Maroc Telecom will be losing its market share to Mditel and Wana over the forecast period. Our model predicts that Maroc Telecom's subscriber market share will decline from 57% in 2009 to 50.8% in 2014.

- In contrast, we expect that Mditel's subscriber market share will increase to 37.5% in 2014 and Wana's market share will increase to 11.6% in 2014.

Maroc Telecom will continue to receive higher ARPUs than Mditel - Maroc Telecom will continue to lead Morocco in ARPUs, but our model predicts that its monthly ARPU will still decline from MAD 95 in 2009 to MAD 90 in 2014.

- On the other hand, we forecast that Mditel's monthly ARPU level will remain in the range of MAD 50 - MAD 53 over the forecast period, 2010 - 2014.

EBITDA margins to deteriorate at Maroc Telecom over the next several years - Our model predicts that Maroc Telecom's EBITDA margin (calculated as EBITDA/reported revenue) will decrease from 64% in 2009 to approximately 59% in 2014.

- In comparison, we expect that Mditel's EBITDA margin will remain at approximately 40% over the next five years.

Companies Mentioned: - Maroc Telecom SA - Mditel (Medi Telecom) - Wana (For Wana, only the subscriber data is available.) For more information visit http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/cb1696/1q10_morocco_mobil CONTACT: Laura Wood, Senior Manager, Research and Markets Fax: +1 646 607 1907 (US) Fax: +353 1 481 1716 (Rest of World) e-mail: press@researchandmarkets.com ((M2 Communications disclaims all liability for information provided within M2 PressWIRE. Data supplied by named party/parties. Further information on M2 PressWIRE can be obtained at http://www.presswire.net on the world wide web. Inquiries to info@m2.com.

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