WiMAX

WiMAX Featured Articles

More WiMAX Community Stories

June 09, 2010

LTE Will Make Up 11 Percent of Installed Base Stations by 2015

By Anuradha Shukla
TMCnet Contributor

The introduction of Long Term Evolution or, “LTE (News - Alert)” brings enhanced quality for 3GPP multimedia services.
 
LTE offers more flexibility for service provision to cope with heterogeneous terminal capabilities and transmission over heterogeneous network conditions.
 
According to Jake Saunders, vice president for forecasting at ABI Research, by the end of 2010, 20 LTE networks are expected to have flicked the 'on' switch, but it may surprise many that LTE will only make up 11percent of installed base stations by the end of 2015.

Saunders added that LTE population coverage will have crept up to 600 million by 4Q-2012, but 4G marketing hype will precede 4G reality for several years to come.
 
4G has a number of elegant solutions embedded in the technology, but the reality is that 4G spectrum awards will occur in a fragmented manner and will need to pass legislative and legal challenges in many markets. In fact, for many emerging markets, “4G mobility” is still very much an “out there” concept.
 
There are some markets in South America and Africa that have yet to consolidate their 3G spectrum awards. Of those carriers that have 3G licenses, many are being pragmatic: they have deployed HSDPA and HSUPA. Furthermore, 50 carriers have installed HSPA+, which enables speeds of up to 56 Mbps. ABI Research (News - Alert) estimates that by 2015, 75 percent of WCDMA-capable base stations will have had the HSPA+ upgrade. In 2012 alone, equipment spending on HSPA+ will be 11percent of total equipment expenditure.
 
Vendors such as Ericsson, Nokia Siemens Networks, and Huawei (News - Alert) can still get mileage out of selling 3G and 3.5G equipment. While the proportion of greenfield base stations has dropped, there is still a need to upgrade existing sites. Consider India. There has been a spending hiatus as carriers clarify which “Circles” they secured. The conclusion of 3G licensing in India should now see carriers getting out their checkbooks again.
 
Overall in 1Q-2010, operators demonstrated a subdued appetite for equipment despite the economic rebound in 2H-2009. In many countries, governments gave grants to in-market carriers as part of an overall “economic stimulus package.”
 
A recent report by In-Stat finds that people are shifting focus from wireless 4G technology and ultra-mobile broadband (UMB) to LTE and WiMAX (News - Alert).
 

Anuradha Shukla is a contributing editor for TMCnet. To read more of Anuradha’s article, please visit her columnist page.

Edited by Stefania Viscusi


comments powered by Disqus